aleks97 писал(а):Mr. Trump писал(а):aleks97 писал(а): Много политики и wishful thinking. Удачи им там в том танке мыслей. Но то, что начинают что-то говорить - похвально.
в эпоху глобализации без политики нет и экономики. на ход мыслей этого дядьки явно его исторический бэкграунд повлиял. в любом случае - некоторые его раскладки смотрятся очень логично и взаимосвязано. мне понравилось.
например про Китай... да Китай уже свой внутренний спрос и экономику поставил на ноги, по сравнению с экспортом эта экономика просто монстр.
Это Клинтон ездила слезно просить о пощаде, но обставляют это как будто Америка делает одолжение.
agree
a little quote from "Crash Proof" by P.Schiff
CHINA’S “WARTIME” ECONOMY
As noted earlier with reference to Asia in general, the mainstream of economic thinking holds that China will continue to
finance the U.S. current account deficit indefinitely because American consumption is vital to the survival of China’s
export-driven economy. Quite to the contrary, China’s own capacity to consume is much greater than ours and the productive
capacity needed to serve it is already in place—in China! In many ways the modern Asian economies are reminiscent
of the wartime economy of the United States during World War II, when the nation’s industrial might was concentrated on supplying
the war effort. We had 10 million men under arms spread across three continents, our ships patrolled the Atlantic and Pacific
Oceans, and our bombers blackened the skies. Factories that had previously produced passenger cars, sewing machines,
and farm equipment had been retooled to make fighter planes, jeeps, tanks, rifles, bullets, artillery shells, destroyers, aircraft
carriers, submarines, uniforms, helmets, boots, mess kits, and military radios.
At the time we were a very busy nation. Our factories were in operation 24/7, and more people than ever before were
working, including legions of women previously absent from the workforce.
Given this full-throttle activity, economists of that time period
might have argued that we never should have stormed the
beaches at Normandy or Iwo Jima. After all, if the war ended, a
disaster would befall our wartime economy. Millions of soldiers
and factory workers would lose their jobs and corporate profits
would collapse, as there would be no more demand for all the
weapons and military equipment they were producing. Because
victory abroad would surely bring recession at home, the war
needed to be waged indefinitely.
As ridiculous as this argument sounds, it is exactly what
most believe the Chinese should do today, as in reality their
export-driven economy is basically no different from our
wartime economy in 1944.
During the war, American consumers did not receive any direct
economic benefit from their hard work and economic activity.
In fact, they sacrificed greatly. Because factories were
producing military goods, consumer goods were in short supply.
In addition, scores of common staples, such as butter, nylon
stockings, and gasoline, had to be rationed so that they or the resources
needed to produce them would be readily available for
the military. Similarly, Chinese citizens now produce export
goods from which they themselves derive no direct economic
benefit. In effect, consumer goods are rationed in China so as to
make them plentiful in the United States.
However, when World War II ended, American factories
didn’t shut down; they merely returned to consumer goods production.
Soldiers didn’t lose their jobs; they merely put their labor
to more productive uses. Instead of being wasted on a war
(which unfortunately had to be fought), resources were applied
to civilian purposes, leading to a postwar economic boom.
The same would apply in China today. As Americans once
sacrificed to defeat the Nazis and Imperial Japan, the Chinese
now sacrifice merely to support the purchasing power of
Americans. If China allowed the dollar to decline against the
yuan, American purchasing power would by definition be
transferred to the Chinese. In China, factors of production
would therefore be reallocated as they were during the postwar
period in the United States. Factories would retool and labor
would seek more productive employment. Instead of wasting
scarce resources producing goods to export, China would instead
produce goods for domestic consumption.
