Первая, на моей памяти, статья в Ванкувер Сан, в которой говорится о падении цен за год на 20-30%
The number of detached homes selling in Metro has been dropping for more than six months, but only recently have there been signs of easing of the city’s stratospheric prices. ... Realtor Ian Watt uses the independent figures from SnapStarts Publishing Company, which reports median prices. For July, it shows that prices for detached homes on Vancouver’s west side have fallen 26 per cent in a year, dropping by just under $1 million, from $3.8 million to $2.8 million. In West Vancouver, detached home prices have fallen over 30 per cent or $1.1 million, from $3.6 million in December 2017 to $2.5 million in July.
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Realtor Stuart Bonner watches detached homes on Vancouver’s west side and says the drop in sales and prices that he is seeing feel like a “canary in the coal mine” — a warning of what is to come in other parts of the Metro market because the west side is where the “chain reaction” starts. If sales and prices drop in this segment, sellers have less wealth to use for buying in other segments — including other areas and other kinds of homes such as condos and townhomes — spreading out the downward pressure on sales and prices of these. “If you don’t have someone selling a home for $10 million, with $3 million or $4 million to buy another home and then another $1 million or $2 million to give each of their children (or make an investment property purchase), there is a ripple effect when the volume of sales drops dramatically.”
The downward trend would come off some intense price gains in the last few years. Watt says, in January 2015, the median sale price for downtown condos was for $493,000, according to SnapStarts. In January 2018, it was $950,000 for an increase of 93 per cent. “My thoughts are if they went up that fast, they can certainly go down that fast. That was a one-time Chinese money infusion and a spectacular frenzy, which are both over. Vancouver will never be affordable, but it will drop 25 per cent or more,” says Watt.
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There has been a drop of 25 per cent in average home price and 22 per cent drop in median home price since the highs of 2017, according to Bonner. “Detached, attached and apartments on the west side are now all experiencing price reductions and while this is creating good buying opportunities, buyers are holding off in anticipation of further declines,” Bonner wrote to clients in a note. “This will exacerbate the decline and soften prices further.”
Realtor Steve Saretsky says when prices were rising, it was the “irrational buyer who would set a new level by bidding $200,000 over the asking price.” Now, the prices are being set by owners who are willing to take a lower amount because they have to sell for personal reasons, such as a divorce or an illness that forces downsizing. “We are in a period of price discovery,” says Saretsky, with some sellers adjusting their expectations and some finding it harder to do so.
One would-be seller of a one-bedroom condo in Yaletown, for example, who thought in the fall of 2017, his place might go for $750,000. He got an offer for $735,000, but didn’t take it then, says Saretsky. “He asked me what it would be worth now, based on recent sales and I said, ‘asking anything higher than $700,000 would be on the high side. Maybe $685,000. And he said, ‘oh no, he couldn’t sell it for that since he had that previous offer for $735,000. So it’s tough to adjust if people have been anchoring those prices.”
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